Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.643200 0.735111 0.834482 0.949774 1.079726 1.221536 1.387875
2025-03-16 0.511733 0.638767 0.787421 0.973666 1.200186 1.466136 1.801402
2025-03-23 0.425210 0.575603 0.764781 1.018848 1.349593 1.763852 2.320099
2025-03-30 0.343924 0.502640 0.716300 1.022385 1.446567 2.010090 2.811137
2025-04-06 0.289141 0.453732 0.689609 1.048074 1.573802 2.310156 3.411388
2025-04-13 0.234710 0.394380 0.637306 1.027725 1.631611 2.520138 3.912831
2025-04-20 0.205242 0.367021 0.626848 1.065957 1.778139 2.872670 4.660543
2025-04-27 0.182266 0.345533 0.621335 1.109653 1.936949 3.260009 5.503710
2025-05-04 0.158295 0.317589 0.600121 1.123200 2.046965 3.581007 6.275937
2025-05-11 0.136726 0.289755 0.574199 1.123763 2.133319 3.870463 7.024968
2025-05-18 0.118734 0.265230 0.550022 1.123038 2.215631 4.159494 7.800481
2025-05-25 0.104507 0.245498 0.531534 1.129557 2.310472 4.478118 8.657114
2025-06-01 0.093528 0.230838 0.521262 1.151520 2.438937 4.874108 9.700389
2025-06-08 0.081407 0.211278 0.497806 1.143393 2.507574 5.166314 10.582165
2025-06-15 0.073882 0.200893 0.492233 1.171658 2.652444 5.617958 11.810483
2025-06-22 0.064547 0.184199 0.469916 1.160224 2.713056 5.910062 12.756072
2025-06-29 0.058395 0.174324 0.461671 1.178974 2.840090 6.347671 14.033003
2025-07-06 0.050359 0.157720 0.434563 1.149867 2.857632 6.560338 14.869319
2025-07-13 0.046797 0.152779 0.435535 1.188027 3.031950 7.120771 16.483852
2025-07-20 0.043895 0.149149 0.439281 1.233487 3.228365 7.747112 18.294401
2025-07-27 0.039900 0.141372 0.430777 1.246562 3.348787 8.216431 19.803702
2025-08-03 0.035841 0.132493 0.417782 1.245972 3.435485 8.617337 21.195765
2025-08-10 0.032225 0.124225 0.405117 1.244392 3.519310 9.018993 22.624039